Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.160882 0.186910 0.215851 0.250427 0.290631 0.335931 0.390883
2025-03-23 0.120821 0.155605 0.198455 0.255179 0.328407 0.419913 0.543214
2025-03-30 0.096129 0.132877 0.181446 0.250449 0.346196 0.474726 0.661018
2025-04-06 0.080268 0.117517 0.169647 0.248102 0.363576 0.527933 0.780832
2025-04-13 0.069426 0.106819 0.161806 0.248796 0.383549 0.585354 0.912466
2025-04-20 0.063504 0.102163 0.161590 0.259926 0.419432 0.669514 1.094389
2025-04-27 0.058166 0.097452 0.160336 0.268745 0.452145 0.751999 1.283850
2025-05-04 0.053413 0.092908 0.158535 0.276046 0.482742 0.834077 1.482664
2025-05-11 0.048478 0.087316 0.154138 0.278090 0.504186 0.902697 1.666394
2025-05-18 0.043577 0.081097 0.147790 0.275679 0.517056 0.957266 1.831097
2025-05-25 0.038554 0.073988 0.138937 0.267436 0.517896 0.989612 1.957647
2025-06-01 0.036173 0.071515 0.138247 0.274331 0.547985 1.079730 2.206777
2025-06-08 0.033191 0.067583 0.134464 0.275016 0.566560 1.150943 2.430059
2025-06-15 0.031003 0.064973 0.132961 0.280105 0.594728 1.244847 2.713449
2025-06-22 0.028033 0.060372 0.126884 0.274908 0.600660 1.293505 2.906274
2025-06-29 0.025654 0.056723 0.122330 0.272329 0.611759 1.354171 3.133300
2025-07-06 0.023821 0.054034 0.119482 0.273091 0.630234 1.432928 3.411735
2025-07-13 0.023070 0.053664 0.121629 0.285324 0.676237 1.578765 3.866864
2025-07-20 0.022167 0.052833 0.122636 0.295019 0.717474 1.718546 4.326310
2025-07-27 0.021207 0.051750 0.122935 0.303043 0.755668 1.855689 4.797836
2025-08-03 0.019949 0.049799 0.120965 0.305291 0.779882 1.961785 5.204580
2025-08-10 0.018510 0.047229 0.117218 0.302640 0.791375 2.037569 5.542215
2025-08-17 0.016848 0.043904 0.111246 0.293579 0.785145 2.067397 5.760349